Size tends to make organizations smug
“Size seems to make many organizations slow-thinking, resistant to change and smug. In Churchill’s words: ‘We shape our buildings, and afterwards our buildings shape us.’”
Investing
Warren Buffett's 2006 letter to Berkshire shareholders, one of the letters in Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letters, 1971–2025.
“Size seems to make many organizations slow-thinking, resistant to change and smug. In Churchill’s words: ‘We shape our buildings, and afterwards our buildings shape us.’”
“No single criterion is effective in doing [measuring Berkshire's value], and even an avalanche of statistics will not capture some factors that are important.”
“Th e result: ISCAR makes money because it enables its customers to make more money. There is no better recipe for continued success.”
“We do know that it would be a huge mistake to bet that evolving atmospheric changes are benign in their implications for insurers.”
“We are not willing, though, to take on even very small exposures at prices that don’t reflect our evaluation of loss probabilities. Appropriate prices don’t guarantee profits in any given year, but inappropriate prices most certainly guarantee eventual losses.”
“Our behavior [in the super-cat field] parallels that which we employ in financial markets: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”
“We sometimes encounter accounting footnotes about important transactions that leave us baffled, and we go away suspicious that the reporting company wished it that way.”
“When an industry’s underlying economics are crumbling, talented management may slow the rate of decline. Eventually, though, eroding fundamentals will overwhelm managerial br illiance.”
“Naturally, there are few defaults when virtually nothing is required of a borrower. As a cynic has said, ‘A rolling loan gathers no loss.’”
“Like a very wealthy but self-indulgent family, [the U.S.] peeled off a bit of what we owned in order to consume more than we produced.”
“And, like everyone who gets in hock, the U.S. will now experience ‘reverse compounding’ as we pay ever-increasing amounts of interest on interest.”
“Why, you may wonder, are we fooling around with such potentially toxic material? The answer is that derivatives, just like stocks and bonds, are sometimes wildly mispriced.”
“Over time, markets will do extraordinary, even bizarre, things. A single, big mistake could wipe out a long string of successes.”
“Certain perils that lurk in investment strategies cannot be spotted by use of the models commonly employed today by financial institutions.”
“Independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen understanding of both human and ins titutional behavior is vital to long-t erm investment success. I’ve seen a lot of very smart people who have lacked these virtues.”
“In selecting a new director, we were guided by our long-standing criteria, which are that board members be owner-oriented, business-savvy, interested and truly independent.”
“I say ‘truly’ because many directors who are now deemed independent by various authorities and observers are far from that, relying heavily as they do on directors’ fees to maintain their standard of living.”
“Over the years I’ve been queried many times about potential directors and have yet to hear anyone ask, ‘Does he think like an intelligent owner?’”
“When we use incentives – and these can be large – they are always tied to the operating results for which a given CEO has authority. We issue no lottery tickets that carry payoffs unrelated to business performance.”
“Compensation reform will only occur if the largest institutional shareh olders – it would only take a few – demand a fresh look at the whole system.”
“Even if the people above ground make their decisions imperfectly, they should be able to allocate funds more rationally than a decedent six feet under will have ordained decades earlie r.”
“When Walter and Edwin were asked in 1989 by Outstanding Investors Digest, ‘How would you summarize your approach?’ Edwin replied, ‘We try to buy stocks cheap.’ So much for Modern Portfolio Theory, technical analysis, macroeconomic thoughts and complex algorithms.”
“Following a strategy that involved no real risk – defined as permanent loss of capital – Walter produced results over his 47 partnership years that dramatically surpassed those of the S&P 500.”
“After all, if you are in the shipping business, it’s helpful to have all of your potential competitors be taught that the earth is flat.”