Cover of Our Continent, Our Future

Our Continent, Our Future

Thandika Mkandawire and Charles Soludo

6 ideas

  1. Stabilisation crowded out long-run growth

    Structural adjustment treated short-run macroeconomic stabilisation, meaning fiscal deficit cuts, devaluation and demand compression, as if it were a development strategy. Austerity cut public investment in infrastructure, education and health, and it contracted domestic demand. That eroded the base for long-run growth, so economies were stabilised at low levels of output and investment instead of set on a growth path.

  2. Adjustment deindustrialised African economies

    Rapid trade liberalisation exposed infant manufacturing to import competition before firms could become efficient. Credit tightening and high interest rates starved those firms of working capital. The result was factory closures and a return to dependence on primary commodity exports, which reversed the modest industrial gains of the post-independence era.

  3. The developmental state as growth coordinator

    The state is presented as an active coordinator of accumulation, not a market-distorting nuisance to be minimised. It directs credit, protects strategic sectors selectively and temporarily, invests in human capital and infrastructure, and disciplines firms through performance conditions. The problem in Africa is not state intervention itself but weak state capacity, and adjustment deepened that weakness by gutting the civil service.

  4. Conditionality destroys ownership and policy learning

    When reforms are designed in Washington and imposed as loan conditions, governments implement them grudgingly and reverse them when the money stops. Domestic institutions never build the capacity to analyse their own economies. Reforms only stick when they are domestically conceived, debated and owned, so externally imposed programmes fail even when their content is sound.

  5. Judge reform by growth, not compliance

    Donors assessed African countries by whether they had 'got prices right' and completed programme checklists. Under this lens, a country could count as a model adjuster while investment, per-capita income and industrial output stagnated. Shifting the metric to sustained growth, structural transformation and poverty reduction shows that many 'successful' adjusters failed on outcomes.

  6. Market failures justify selective intervention

    African markets are thin, fragmented and plagued by information and coordination failures, so liberalising prices alone does not bring forth private investment or new industries. Missing credit markets, underdeveloped infrastructure and coordination problems among interdependent investments require deliberate public action. Getting prices right is necessary but far from sufficient.

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