Cover of Filters Against Folly

Filters Against Folly

Garrett Hardin

6 ideas

  1. The Three Filters: Literacy, Numeracy, Ecolacy

    Any policy claim should be passed through three sequential filters by asking three questions: 'What are the words?' (literacy), 'What are the numbers?' (numeracy), and 'And then what?' (ecolacy). Each filter catches different errors, and a claim that survives all three is far more trustworthy than one tested by any single filter alone.

  2. The Ecolate Question: And Then What?

    The ecological filter forces you to trace the downstream consequences of an action across time rather than stopping at its immediate intended effect. Because every intervention in an interconnected system produces secondary and tertiary effects, asking 'and then what?' repeatedly exposes consequences that single-step thinking ignores.

  3. You Can Never Do Merely One Thing

    Because the world is a web of interconnected systems, any single action necessarily produces multiple effects beyond its target. Treating an intervention as if it has one isolated outcome is the fundamental error of non-ecological thinking, since unintended ripple effects are guaranteed, not occasional.

  4. Quantity Distinguishes Poison From Medicine

    The numerate filter insists that asking 'how much?' often reverses a qualitative judgment, because substances and policies that are beneficial in small amounts become harmful in large ones. The demand to be free of something entirely is meaningless; the real question is the threshold and dose at which an effect changes sign.

  5. Distrust Words That Foreclose Quantity

    Certain words function as traps that block numerate and ecolate thinking by smuggling in absolutes — terms like 'never,' 'pollution-free,' or 'absolutely safe' imply zero quantities that are physically impossible. Spotting these absolutist words reveals where an argument has substituted emotional certainty for measurable reality.

  6. Experts Need Outsider Filtering

    Specialists are trained deeply within one filter and therefore systematically blind to the others, so a brilliant chemist may be ecologically illiterate and a careful economist innumerate about ecology. The non-expert who applies all three filters can legitimately challenge expert conclusions, because competence in one dimension does not confer wisdom about the whole.

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